Archive for October 16th, 2009

TGIF And Predictions

Friday, October 16th, 2009

This was what mattered most in Gorilla’s world this week:

*The march for LGBT equality continues. Equal justice under the law may take another decade, but it’s clear this will not go away. Gorilla thinks we’ll start with Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell, get rid of DOMA, and get a civil rights bill through Congress by 2020.

*Bilateral negotiations with Iran seem inevitable. After Hillary Clinton’s trip to Russia, it’s clear that the ball’s now in our court; there’s no support for further sanctions short of an Iranian refusal to negotiate. Gorilla thinks Hillary will be landing in Tehran by the end of 2010.

*Health care reform made it out of the Finance Committee and should be passed by the Senate soon. The Senate bills are all woefully inadequate, and there’s no guarantee that the public option will survive. Gorilla believes you could see this as a down payment on further reform, but he’s more convinced there’s no real momentum to avoid the bigger balloon payment before 2015-2020.

*America’s educational system continues to fail its students. The mathematics test scores were appalling and inexcusable. Gorilla has little confidence things will improve soon, for the same reason he has little faith in health care reform: goring vested interest oxen is not a pleasant occupation for any politician.

*The world grows hungrier. Gorilla doesn’t see much solution to this until we, the Japanese, and the EU are willing to give up our amoral and unnecessary farm subsidies. More Doha and less dough will make America more of a beacon to the poor and hungry.

*Afghanistan looks ever more like a quagmire. The fraudulent election produced the result we wanted, but not in the way we wanted. It appears the President will throw in more troops, with no clear strategy. Pakistan, where the threat of extremism is far greater than in Kabul, is descending into chaos at nearly as fast a rate, but we can’t do anything much about it. Gorilla still believes we’ll be on our way out by the end of 2010.

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The Dim Sum Bowl

Friday, October 16th, 2009

China: currency manipulator!

Shock, horror!!!

And here we go again.

The Chinese are buying up dollars to keep the value of the renminbi low. This has the effect of worsening the US trade deficit and causing “imbalances”, as the experts would have it. Another round of tariffs and angry rhetoric is threatened.

So, short of the Chinese allowing the renminbi to trade freely (an inevitability in the coming decade), the obvious answer for America would be to allow the dollar to fall further, decreasing the deficit, expanding the export industry, and adding jobs, jobs, jobs.

But that’s not what we’re saying, even though that’s precisely what we want to happen.

Gorilla says: “Weak dollars are us! Reduce the deficit in US Column A, increase the value in Renmin Column B!”

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All About Imagery

Friday, October 16th, 2009

The Pentagon is again trying to restrict photographic coverage of the war in Afghanistan.

“Media will not be prohibited from viewing or filming casualties; however, casualty photographs showing recognizable face, nametag or other identifying feature or item will not be published.”

Censorship is censorship, however you phrase it. Reporting the news may require the publication of photos that will alarm, offend, and illuminate. That’s why we have an independent press, and the press itself should be wary about becoming embedded manipulators of the Pentagon’s version of events.

There’s nothing wrong with informing the next of kin if a soldier is killed, but it is ludicrous to give the family control over whether photographs are published.

This hasn’t happened in previous wars, but this time there seems to be a desire to pretend that wars do not kill and maim, or that killing and maiming is the natural consequence of this particular type of foreign policy.

Gorilla says: “Killing is not thrilling, censorship is chilling!”

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