Archive for March 26th, 2010

Pretend And Extend

Friday, March 26th, 2010

In Euroland, it’s back to hit and hope…

Yes, the IMF can come in and help Greece out.

Yes, the French, Germans, and others may provide loans to Greece if necessary.

No, this won’t be nearly enough money to rescue Greece.

No, the main idea is enough dopes will buy Greek bonds to keep the spreads with German bonds sufficiently low so as not to wipe out the austerity measures already announced by Athens.

Yes, it proves that Euroland is not yet sustainable for its weakest members, and no, it won’t save the Germans from having to write a much larger check.

Today’s deal is an elaborate con job, which will be tested not only by the appetite for Greek debt, but how well Portuguese, Spanish, Italian, and Irish debt fares in the marketplace.

Gorilla’s conclusion: “The PIIGS will need a whacking great trough chock full of Euro swill!”

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Not Selling: The New Selling

Friday, March 26th, 2010

Fourth quarter 2009 GDP revised downward, uh oh!

Take away inventory replacement, and growth’s actually an anemic 1.7%.

That’s not enough to do a damn thing about unemployment, and it’s certainly not a recovery from recession, when measured by previous historical standards, as Mark Thoma illustrates:

Gorilla says: “Going nowhere is the new arriving!”

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Not Our Fault, Blame The Media!

Friday, March 26th, 2010

The Vatican’s not exactly coming across as a citadel of morality these days!

In fact, it more or less resembles the Nixon White House, where clinging to power by any means possible was the order of the day.

The problem is you can’t get the top dog to resign, so it’s all left to the liability lawyers and the serial leakers.

Gorilla thinks: “The German Shepherd is in the doghouse!”

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More Props

Friday, March 26th, 2010

Yet another bankers’ assistance program!

Of course, it’s supposed to assist homeowners by reducing principal balances and/or freezing payments for 3-6 months, but it’s really just another backdoor subsidy for the banks.

What’s needed is a jobs program and the capacity, through bankruptcy courts, to compel lenders to restructure loans.

The unemployed will lose their homes unless they have jobs and those who have jobs with underwater loans need serious relief: on the order of 30-50% principal reductions.

None of this is going to happen, because the deficit fetish is far stronger in DC than the political will to start hiring people.

Gorilla says: “Bottom will be hit when the props are removed and the play goes back into production!”

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