Posts Tagged ‘Afghanistan’

A Freedom We’re Not Fighting For

Monday, March 1st, 2010

Freedom of the press in Afghanistan, apparently, as the Afghan government has decided to ban live coverage of Taliban attacks.

Other than to demonstrate just how bogged down we are in Afghanistan, it’s difficult to understand how we can continue supporting a government that is doing more to stifle the press than it is to develop the country.

But of course, that’s not consistent with surging, where our general, surrounded by journalists, says about Afghans: “in the near term, they have to feel represented, they have to feel it’s fair”.

Gorilla says: “When your house is blown up, you may not think it’s fair. When you’re covering a house being blown up, you may not think it’s fair. When a corrupt government steals the election, you may not think it’s fair.”

  • Share/Bookmark

Blasting Away In Kabul

Friday, February 26th, 2010

Another suicide bombing in the Afghan capital, aimed at foreigners.

What’s interesting about this one is that the targets were Indian, which might indicate, yet again, that the Pakistan-India conflict is now being brought to Afghanistan by the Pakistani government.

Of course, happy bilateral talk also coincided with the bombing, so it seems clear both sides in that conflict are preparing for the day after the US departs.

Gorilla says: “Pakistan’s playing the middle against both sides!”

  • Share/Bookmark

More Dead Civilians, Fewer Live Troops

Monday, February 22nd, 2010

In Afghanistan, the mess keeps on keepin’ on…

Another 33 civilians killed by an airstrike.

The Dutch government falling, with the result that Dutch troops will be out by August.

The Australians saying it’s not up to them to take the place of the Dutch.

The Europeans still haven’t come up with the 10,000 troops promised for the “surge”.

Former Iraqi surger General Petraeus says the latest offensive will take 12-18 months.

Summary: intelligence on the ground is lousy (dead civilians), no domestic political support for allies (NATO), and not enough troops either to defeat the Taliban or to keep control of areas where the Taliban has been defeated (US, Afghan, or anybody else).

Gorilla says: “It’s long past time to go, we seem to be the last to know!”

  • Share/Bookmark

One Mullah Down…

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

It’s a good day for Operation Moshtarak with the capture of the Taliban’s Number 2!

But the contradictory and underlying problems in Afghanistan are far harder and not susceptible to military solution.

There’s no effective central government.

There’s no alternative to drugs for economic development.

There’s no functioning Afghan army or police force to consolidate gains made by NATO in defeating the Taliban.

The Pakistanis, while more helpful now, are still not interested in getting either the Taliban or al-Qaeda out of their country; they too are playing the long game.

So, what’s in it for America? Pretty much nothing.

We’ll have to depend on Afghanistan and Pakistan, along with our very middling intelligence services, to keep the terrorist threat at bay.

This can and should be done, but it doesn’t require billions of dollars and thousands of needless deaths.

We need to start pissing away money on things that matter: health care reform, unemployment, and infrastructure.

Gorilla says: “Terrorism is a marginal problem, while America’s increasing ungovernability is a far more serious threat to national security!”

  • Share/Bookmark

The Village, The Age, The Surging, The Purging: A Bozo Ottava Rima War Song

Monday, February 15th, 2010

Moshtarak, Mubarak, they all seem the same!
A battle we don’t want, all dying in vain.
Victory defined by one dictator’s game
With allies who can’t, and the torturer’s stain.
Revenge is refined, all coruscating flame
Of fighting slant; these volunteers feel some pain,
While embedded upon Republican spree
Or Bayhnomial rant: so human rights free.

  • Share/Bookmark

Offensive Rapide

Saturday, February 13th, 2010

We launch on a Friday, it’s promising by Saturday, and on Sunday in 3 years we won’t be there…

Perhaps we’re winning, in a place where Russkies with 5 times the troops didn’t, perhaps it’s caring, although we don’t really, so long as the warlords can hold on, or perhaps it’s war in the age of Greek tragedy…

Gorilla says: “Ask not for whom the terror cells, the polls say thee!”

  • Share/Bookmark

Islamic Civil War Continues

Friday, February 5th, 2010

Today’s bombings: in Pakistan and in Iraq

These were aimed at Shiites attending religious festivals, and were presumably detonated by or at the behest of Sunnis.

In Pakistan, Sunnis are the majority, in Iraq, the Shiites hold sway.

These religion-based civil wars appear to be beyond our control, and certainly beyond the control of the local governments.

It’s difficult to square our national security strategy in these regions, which is essentially to keep Islamic terrorists from attacking in the West, with the reality on the ground in places where terrorists live: there aren’t any jobs, village life is more or less medieval, and the populations are easy targets for the ravings and the bombs of religious fanatics.

No amount of soldiers will change the situation, and it’s very unlikely that weak and corrupt governments can do anything more than pursue containment in those regions they tenuously control.

What’s frustrating and depressing about all this is that these problems don’t get discussed by our political leaders.

They seem stuck on either fear (“they’ll be attacking by July!”) or on anger (“we’ll show these ragwearers a thing or two!”).

And they certainly want to do anything to avoid admitting that we don’t have a clue about what’s going on in Iraq, Pakistan, or Afghanistan, or that the threat a few thousand fifth-rate terrorists pose to our way of life is extremely minimal.

We’re not winning anything, we’re not nation building, and we’re not promoting democracy: we’re essentially a marginal player in a religious civil war.

Gorilla says: “It’s their fight, not ours, and so far they want to keep fighting!”

  • Share/Bookmark

How’d Gallup Get In?

Wednesday, February 3rd, 2010

Afghanistan, where 80% of Taliban fighters aren’t really hardcore, according to the British Armed Forces Minister.

Without a pollster in sight, the implication is that these “foot soldiers” can be bought off.

It’s called reintegration, and it works just fine so long as the Taliban decides it’s losing the war or can’t make the payroll.

On current evidence, it’s also utter nonsense.

This isn’t the first time we’ve tried to bribe our way out of a losing war.

We put the Sunnis on the payroll for a while during the “surge” in Iraq.

They went along for a year, but as soon as the checks stopped coming, the bombs started falling again.

Gorilla thinks: “Maybe we could pay the Taliban to pass health care reform!”

  • Share/Bookmark

Which Year Do We Win?

Thursday, January 28th, 2010

In London at yet another “What Can We Do For Afghanistan?” conference, the British Prime Minister says we have to turn the tide against the Taliban by the middle of next year.

Meanwhile, Afghan President Karzai says it will take 5-10 years to train Afghan forces sufficiently so that they might take full responsibility for national security.

Oh, and it’ll take 10-15 years before Afghanistan’s able to pay its own way for these sufficiently trained forces.

Gorilla says: “Let’s see 2011, 2015, 2020, 2025, it’s like watching health care reform with warlords who aren’t Senators!”

  • Share/Bookmark

On Payroll, Off Message

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

The US Ambassador to Afghanistan!

He doesn’t think the strategy of surging, Afghanization and propping up the government will work because: 1) the government’s basically corrupt, 2) the Afghan Army and police are hopeless and untrainable, and 3) there’s no real political class to govern the country.

Gorilla thinks: “He could also be describing America, but let’s give him the benefit of the doubt!”

  • Share/Bookmark