Posts Tagged ‘Fed’

The Fed Bows Out

Wednesday, June 22nd, 2011

Non-existent inflation, a falling GDP forecast, a rising unemployment forecast: this is what the Fed thinks is happening in the US economy, and so…

Nothing much more will be done. It’s a reprise of the very thing Helicopter Ben said the Japanese failed to do during their lost decade.

It’s hard to understand why there’s absolutely no urgency about getting the unemployed back to work.

All the talk in DC’s about the deficit, which doesn’t matter at all in the short-term and will be eliminated altogether in the long-term by the gradual move towards a Medicare-style health care system that covers everyone.

The danger for Obama’s reelection is that the economy keeps tanking and the Know Nothings decide to nominate a non-clown (so far, all the declared candidates are essentially clowns and/or not clownish enough to ever be nominated by today’s Know Nothing Party): Gorilla’s bet is on Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell, a despicable right-wing loony who sounds like ordinary, non-loony folks.

Gorilla says: “A plausible clown is always more electable!”

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Do Only Complete Failures Qualify?

Wednesday, June 8th, 2011

For jobs in the Administration:

Now, it’s Ryan Crocker to Afghanistan, yet another man who could not tell the truth to anyone in power and got a Medal of Freedom for it!

And it’s Mueller of the FBI, who failed America completely at 9/11, but must have another 2 years because ???

And it’s Geithner at Treasury, a corrupted and unconvincing clown apologist for Wall Street, who doesn’t give a damn about unemployed Americans?

And it’s Bernanke at the Fed, misser of the housing bubble, who’s shocked, shocked to find that his fellow Republicans are batshit crazy, but doesn’t want to rock their boat by saying they are?

Why is it not possible to find qualified people for these jobs who are not discredited Republican remnants or demonstrably incompetent?

Gorilla answers: “Because failure is a feature, not a bug, in Washington!”

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Ben Speaks

Wednesday, April 27th, 2011

And is neither asked nor says anything at all about unemployment at his first regular press conference.

The Fed is failing its unemployment mandate miserably, but all anyone in the press wants to talk about are the stupid things that are totally unimportant to US economic growth: the deficit, fuel prices, and nonexistent inflation.

Gorilla says: “So, it’s another accountability free dodge for the man currently battling Bill Miller for the silver medal on the podium with Greenspan as the three worst Fed Chairmen in history!”

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Quote Of The Day

Thursday, February 10th, 2011

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke: “Until we see a sustained period of stronger job creation, we cannot consider the recovery to be truly established.”

Gorilla translates: “But don’t expect me to suggest the government create a jobs program, fighting non-existent inflation is still more important to me!”

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A Paragraph About Failure

Thursday, January 27th, 2011

The failure of the Fed, the failure of Greenspan and Bernanke, the failure of the regulatory apparatus, the failure of so-called free markets, the failure of political leaders, the failure of credit agencies, take your pick, they were all failures, they were entirely avoidable, and no one involved in this litany of failure has paid any price at all (while 25 million Americans were made unemployed and several million lost their homes), according to the final report of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission:

“The prime example is the Federal Reserve’s pivotal failure to stem the low of toxic mortgages, which it could have done by setting prudent mortgage-lending standards. The Federal Reserve was the one entity empowered to do so and it did not. The record of our examination is replete with evidence of other failures: Financial institutions made, bought, and sold mortgage securities they never examined, did not care to examine, or knew to be defective; firms depended on tens of billions of dollars of borrowing that had to be renewed each and every night, secured by subprime mortgage securities; and major firms and investors blindly relied on credit rating agencies as their arbiters of risk. What else could one expect on a highway where there were neither speed limits nor neatly painted lines?”

Gorilla says: “And we learned nothing at all about breaking up the banks, and the failure Bernanke was reappointed, so the prospects for avoidable failure remain as strong as ever!”

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$3 Trillion And Counting

Wednesday, December 1st, 2010

That’s how much the Fed is on the hook for “saving” the banking system…

And the likelihood this vast assumption of worthless assets will be paid back? Very, very small.

And the likelihood the Fed will be doing this for the banks again once Euroland contagion reaches critical mass and/or economic recovery stalls out? Very, very large.

It’s not to say that the banks didn’t need help at the time.

But there was no effort made by the Fed, or any other regulators/legislators/President since, to exact any price for the banks behavior: enforce haircuts on shareholders, fire bank management, or eliminate the shadow banking system once and for all.

Gorilla says: “Second verse: same as the worst!”

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Helicopter Ben Hovers In Place

Friday, August 27th, 2010

Well, the Fed admits at last that things aren’t going as swimmingly as possible during Recovery Summer, and pledges to do more if more needs to be done.

Mostly, this will consist of buying more long-term Treasuries, but it might also consist of a more strongly worded statement about short-term rates staying low for a long time and a reduction in the interest rate the Fed pays on excess reserves.

What it won’t include is a raising of the inflation target, which the Fed has missed consistently on the downside for the past 2 years.

Central bankers around the world still seem petrified by non-existent inflation.

Helicopter Ben seems convinced that deflation isn’t a problem, but he also says that “central bankers alone can’t solve the world’s economic problems”.

Gorilla says: “Ben doesn’t think we’re Japan, but the jury’s still out!”

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Ben Does A Very Little

Tuesday, August 10th, 2010

The Fed’ll buy some long-term Treasuries and expand the balance sheet, but…

It won’t raise the inflation target and still seems unable to grasp the seriousness of the deflationary situation we’re either in or approaching.

Gorilla says: “The Helicopter isn’t dumping enough cash on an economy and unemployed people who need it!”

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Getting It Totally Wrong, Fed Style

Wednesday, July 14th, 2010

From Calculated Risk, here are the Fed’s economic projections for this year, made in April 2010, only two months ago:

Real GDP: 3.2-3.7% (actually GDP in first half is 3% and will be less in second half, now that stimulus is pretty much over)

Unemployment: 9.1-9.5% (average of first six months: 9.7%)

PCE: 1.2-1.5% (actually 0.7% and prices appear to be dropping)

To sum up: the Fed’s been wrong consistently on growth, unemployment and inflation.

Oh, and retail sales have fallen the past two months.

Hey, but that doesn’t mean the Fed won’t do anything (cue crickets chirping), or wait a minute, so long as inflation remains a non-existent threat and non-existent credibility remains the Fed’s only objective, yes it does.

Gorilla says: “Fighting inflation? Fighting unemployment? It’s time to fight the Fed before it screws us any further!”

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Quote Of The Day

Thursday, May 20th, 2010

Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo: “If sovereign problems in peripheral Europe were to spill over to cause difficulties more broadly throughout Europe, U.S. banks would face larger losses on their considerable overall credit exposures. In addition to imposing direct losses on U.S. institutions, a heightening of financial stresses in Europe could be transmitted to financial markets globally.”

Gorilla translates: “Our banksters are worried they’ll look like your banksters, who look like our banksters used to look!”

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