As has been obvious for some time, Russia’s not terribly interested in new sanctions against Iran.
In fact, they’re going ahead with building a nuclear plant in Iran.
And it appears that a bilateral deal to scrap nuclear weapons will be contingent upon what happens to the US missile defense program, as well as what happens with Iran.
President Obama’s hosting a “nuclear security” summit next month and it was hoped a new US-Russian treaty would be ready. Now, it’s not so clear.
Negotiating with the Russians these days is not easy. They’re still adjusting to the loss of influence that accompanied the collapse of the Soviet Union, and therefore seize on any opportunity to demonstrate they must be taken seriously. Russia is at best a regional player in the world diplomacy game, the Chinese clearly are the big boys on the block.
The US is also adjusting. Missile defense remains nothing more than a Pentagon jobs program; it should have been scrapped long ago. Isolating the Russians won’t make Eastern Europe less wary of them. Not cutting a bilateral deal with Iran means years of waiting in vain for the Russians and Chinese to care.
Gorilla thinks: “Bilateral baby steps are the only way forward, multilateral approaches are fine if you like lowest common denominators!”