Posts Tagged ‘US Economy’

Tax Cuts Do Not Create Jobs

Friday, September 9th, 2011

And $250 billion in spending is roughly 1/8 of what’s needed, even if Congress passes it, and Congress won’t.

This was not a bold jobs plan, this was simply the opening shot in a reelection campaign.

Gorilla says: “What a depressingly leaderless country we inhabit!”

Update: Of course some tax cuts do create jobs, but they’re the least effective form of stimulus. Moreover, the most optimistic estimate by reputable economists is that this plan would create 2 million jobs. There are currently nearly 25 million Americans who are unemployed, underemployed, or have given up on looking for a job. That’s why Gorilla maintains this was not a serious or a bold jobs plan. The Congress will not pass a jobs plan this year or next year. Given that reality, the President should have sought at least three times the money he’s asking for and included a WPA style government jobs program at the center of any proposal. The fact that he didn’t says that he’s more concerned about perception than reality, not exactly surprising in the world of politics, but not exactly inspiring either.

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Complete Disaster

Friday, September 2nd, 2011

17K private sector jobs added, 0 nonfarm jobs added!

It’s an absolute, unqualified disaster for which President Obama and the Know Nothings are to blame, the President for doing absolutely nothing about unemployment for the last 2 years and the Know Nothings for trying to destroy America so that their reelection prospects improve.

What’s needed immediately is a jobs program, one that will put at least 10 million Americans back to work.

This can be done without Congressional approval if the President and Helicopter Ben would simply get to work on printing money and getting into the hands of the unemployed.

What’s not needed is more bullshit speechmaking, worthless tax credits, and infrastructure programs that will take years to get off the ground.

Given that one political party will not agree to anything over the next 12 months, it’s difficult to see how the US economy stays out of recession or how President Obama becomes something other than the 21st century version of Jimmy Carter by the end of 2012.

Gorilla says: “We need leaders who lead, not some weak and feckless clown living in bipartisan fantasy land!”

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A Serious Economic Program

Tuesday, August 30th, 2011

Will not be proposed by our President anytime soon, he’s too much of a coward, but here’s one he should embrace:

1) $300 billion/year for 3 years to hire 10 million Americans immediately to work on rebuilding the nation’s infrastructure, coupled with another $300 billion/year for 3 years to finance an infrastructure bank.

2) Refinance all mortgages in the country at below market interest rates, with principal reductions of at least 25% for those that are underwater. For all practical purposes, the government is the mortgage industry. There’s no reason to waste more time trying to prop up home prices, which are likely to fall further, and/or predatory lending.

3) Guarantee all state government deficits for the next 3 years. This would stop the steep anti-simulative decline in government employment for people who are teachers, firemen, and policemen.

4) Call Ben Bernanke and have him raise the inflation target to at least 4%.

5) Announce the US will be pursuing a weak dollar strategy for the foreseeable future.

6) Lower the minimum age for Social Security eligibility to 60. Those over 55 who’ve lost their jobs will likely never work again.

7) Lower the minimum age for Medicare eligibility to 55. See point 6.

8) Allow the Bush tax cuts and the payroll tax cuts to expire.

9) End the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq by the end of 2012.

What’s needed right now, just at is was in 2009 (but wasn’t forthcoming, thanks to the Administration’s cowardice) is very large scale stimulus, on the order of at least $2 trillion; that’s the output gap at present and that gap will grow larger without further action.

Reducing unemployment is by far the most effective bang for the buck.

Putting people back to work will raise tax revenues and reduce the deficit in the medium term.

Getting more people into Social Security and Medicare will reduce long-term deficits substantially. The government is far more cost effective at managing retirement and health care than the private sector.

Ending pointless wars will reduce the size of the Pentagon’s budget and contribute to long-term deficit reduction.

All of these things are what a real leader would propose: the economic situation in the country is dire and there is only one political party that is serious about solving this problem.

If the Know Nothings won’t go along, then tell the American people to chuck them over the side in the 2012 election.

Gorilla says: “Time to be bold, time to cease half assed proposals and bipartisanship!”

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I Mean Nothing, I Lead To Nothing

Friday, August 26th, 2011

You can call me nothing, or by my given name: Ben Bernanke.

Now certainly tied with Greenspan and Trichet as the worst central bankers of our lifetimes.

They’re intellectually bankrupt, amoral clowns who think that the suffering of millions is worth far less than the suffering of 5% inflation and wealthy bond traders.

Gorilla says: “Let’s hope they’re cursed to lead the needlessly miserable lives they inflict on the rest of us!”

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High Unemployment, Low Inflation: Why Not Do Something?

Thursday, August 18th, 2011

We’re now 2 plus years into unemployment above 9%…

Inflation, on the other hand, remains too low…

So, what could be done about this?

1) Nothing in the political arena, obviously. Whatever the President proposes will be voted down by the Know Nothings. It may make for a good reelection platform (the “do nothing Congress doesn’t care about 25 million unemployed Americans” etc.), but it makes no difference at all when it comes to ending the pain.

2) The Fed could be expanding its balance sheet through more quantitative easing. Not the most effective way to go, but it’s better than nothing.

3) The Fed could be raising its inflation target to 4-5%. That would make it much easier on indebted Americans, but would piss off Wall Street, which is the Fed’s primary constituent.

4) The Fed and the Administration could refinance all underwater mortgages in America. This would keep people in their homes and free up a bit of money for consumption.

5) The Fed and the Administration could fund a jobs program, either by printing money or by using remaining TARP funds. There’s no reason at all, when borrowing money is more or less free, that our leaders couldn’t put at least 10 million people back to work.

Gorilla says: “Effective solutions are there, but nobody in power wants to do anything, so long as the invisible confidence fairy and the invisible bond vigilante are king!!!”

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Still Doing Nothing

Tuesday, August 9th, 2011

The Fed this time!!!

Stating the obvious: Interest rates are going nowhere for the foreseeable future. Economic growth revised downwards. 9.1% unemployment.

And the response? Absolutely nothing!!!

Where is the large scale monetary stimulus (at least $2 trillion is needed), given that political leaders will agree on nothing before the 2012 elections?

Where is the unemployment mandate, given that the employment/population ratio has remained unchanged at a disastrously low level for the past 2 years?

Where is the raising of the target inflation rate, given that inflation is much too low?

Where is the free money for people who aren’t bankers?

Where is the housing refinance to help underwater homeowners?

The 2 worst Fed Chairmen of all time:

(Tie) Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke

Gorilla says: “Nothing more to say about these two stupid, cowardly, amoral pygmies!”

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Without A Clown

Monday, August 8th, 2011

Our President is one and done.

There’s no sense that he really understands what’s going on.

The country needs bold, affirmative leadership, and he’s simply not providing any.

It’s not about the deficit, it’s not about the debt, it’s not about the stock market…

What it is about are 25 million unemployed Americans, and millions more who have lost their homes and their savings, and the refusal of our leaders to lift a finger to help them.

The country needs a serious jobs program and much, much more spending to close a $2 trillion output gap and a lack of sufficient demand.

Such spending is easily financed by the lowest interest rates of the past 60 years.

It’s more than a little strange that a ridiculous downgrading of US bonds leads to an increase demand for US bonds, but that’s where we are…

What we get are meaningless platitudes and a focus on problems that don’t actually exist: inflation, “confidence”, and a debt that’s entirely manageable.

It feels a good deal like watching Jimmy Carter twist in the wind: the sense that a good and decent man cannot bring himself to rock the boat and instead wallows in defeatism.

Gorilla says: “So long, Barack, it’s been good to know ya!”

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What The President Should Do

Monday, August 8th, 2011

1) Start a jobs program, funded by the Federal Reserve, to hire 25 million Americans and pay them $30K/year. Cost: $750 billion annually.

2) Announce the Federal government will refinance all underwater mortgages at current market prices.

3) Announce, in conjunction with the Fed, the ECB and the Bank of Japan, that the US will maintain an inflation target of 5 percent for the foreseeable future.

4) Announce that all spending cuts will be deferred until 2013 and all of the Bush tax cuts will expire at the end of 2012.

5) Announce that the United States intends to pursue a weak dollar policy until global trade balances are adjusted.

6) Establish an infrastructure bank, using remaining TARP funds.

Gorilla says: “Hello recovery, goodbye asinine political debate!”

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Secretary Failure Stays On

Monday, August 8th, 2011

Challenging William Miller and Andrew Mellon for worst ever honors, Tim Geithner stays on board the sinking ship!

Why anyone thinks this worthless Treasury Secretary, who has given the President terrible advice from day one, is a symbol of confidence and continuity is beyond anyone: “Stick with me, boys, and watch your portfolios tank!”

Hopefully, the President will at last decide to forget about spending cuts, end the bipartisan bullshit and start a jobs program.

Gorilla says: “The odds of a jobs program are probably longer than the odds of a double dip!”

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The Number Is Lousy

Friday, August 5th, 2011

Better than expected, but still a lousy jobs figure…

We’re barely covering population growth, and the employment/population ratio remains dismal.

We need to be adding 400,000 jobs each month to get the economy moving again.

Hopefully, Barack and Ben will get off their asses and do something.

Barack’s got limited options, but if he wants to be reelected he needs to propose a serious jobs program, one that will hire at least 10 million people over the next 12 months.

It doesn’t matter whether the Congress goes along, the important thing is to be seen to be doing something, not talking endlessly about unimportant nonsense like bipartisanship and the deficit.

Ben has many more options, starting with raising the inflation target and QEIII, going on to refinancing the nation’s underwater mortgages, and ending with sending unemployed Americans a check for $30,000 every year until demand picks up.

Gorilla says: “Enough of the bullshit, let’s see some substance, please!”

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